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Showing posts from 2013

J.C. Penney's 3Q 2013 Results - My Opinion.

Today, November 20, 2013 JC Penney announced its third quarter results with a press release followed by a conference call before the markets opened for business. Overall, I believe that it was good news for the longs (such as myself). However, skepticism is still hanging in there as the material results were disappointing and the only good news are the trends that seem to be improving but are yet to show on the quarterly results. As promised, I will give you, what I believe are the most important things from the conference call and quarterly results for your review. Mike Ullman the CEO mentioned that "the turnaround for J.C. Penney is beginning to take hold" He also said that during the third quarter "we began generating positive sales momentum". Nevertheless, those positive sales trends are not yet materialized and reflected into this quarter results. Margins on sales are not yet improving. In fact, they are deteriorating based on the same period last yea

Getting Ready for JC Penney's Earnings Release

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It has been almost a year since I started following JC Penney and their turnaround effort. I have to admit that supporting them back then was just a little too early and I have paid the price, losing close to half of my original investment on shares of this company. Having said that, I still think this company can and will be turned around. Though I still think some of the changes that Ron Johnson introduced are good for the company (e.g. uncluttered stores), It is also true that taking away the coupons were a major mistake that resulted in a precipitated decline on sales. Now that Mike Ullman is back on the reign and coupons have been reinstated I think customers will come back. JC Penney is scheduled to release earnings this upcoming Wednesday, and based on the latest events and releases from the company, I expect it to give positive news that will give the stock a much needed boost and at the same time scare some short sellers away from it. I will listen to the conferenc

Thank You Veterans!

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I want to take this opportunity to thank all veterans of the United States military for their sacrifices and service to this great country. Without them, our freedom (which many don't even think of) will not be possible. Also, thanks to all the veterans families, friends and relatives who also had to endure watching their loved ones go away for some time and in some cases forever. It is only fair that we take the time to remember and honor those who have risked everything and in some cases lost so much in order for all of us to enjoy our freedom. Dear Readers! Please take the time to say thanks to a veteran today! It is important for them to know we care and appreciate what they did. Sincerely, Adrian Gomez.

Adding Some Oil To My Holdings

Energy is a need for humanity, and oil companies have been in the front lines benefiting from covering this need. So, how can I get a piece of it? Swift Energy Co. (NYSE: SFY) This company is a small player in the oil  and natural gas industry but with huge potential to make my investment double in a relative short period of time. Swift Energy Co. had been on the wrong side of the industry, they were playing mainly on the natural gas (NG) and natural gas liquids (NGL). Now, with more and more operations on the Eagle Ford Shale they are becoming an oil company and moving away from the not so lucrative natural gas industry (as stated on their latest  quarterly results ). This move is expected to materialize on the next few months. Although Swift's balance sheet is not very healthy with a current debt higher than the current assets and virtually no cash on hand. I still believe that it has the means to navigate through this transition. Once the sale of their Louisiana assets (wh

Facebook Ahead of Earnings!

For some investors it may seem like a scary thing to get into Facebook’s (NASDAQ: FB) stock right now, and who can blame them right? I mean, the stock has appreciated some 52% from $19.50 on Oct 23, 2012 a day before the 3Q12 earnings release to $29.66 as of Jan 18, 2013, while others, are still very optimistic about the future for this young company.  I have written on two other occasions about the prospects for this company and the future of the stock ahead (those of you who want to read the full reports please visit my personal blog and just look for the articles on the right side), and it looks to me as a still great opportunity to jump in, here’s a recap: Revenue -  It has been consistently increasing over the last 9 quarters at a compounded rate of about 13% sequentially, but decreased over the last 4 quarters to a rate of 3.5% Costs and Expenses –  The Company should start delivering improvements in this area, during 2012 they recognized a huge portion of thei

Deckers Signaled Growth at the ICR XChange Conference

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On January 17 th 2013, Deckers (NASDAQ: DECK) participated in the 15 th annual ICR XChange conference in Miami, Florida. There, Mr. Zohar, Chief Operating Officer gave the presentation and several pieces of information are worth mentioning. So, here is a recap of that conference. Brand Portfolio. The company gave us a breakdown on the sales and what percentage is attributable to each of the brands they carry. ·          UGG Australia           84%     -Decreased from 87% on 2011. ·          Teva.                          9%       -Reaccelerated on the 3 rd quarter (growth of 21.8% y-o-y) ·          Sanuk                         6%       -Showed a 17% growth y-o-y on its first comparable quarter ·          Other                          1%       -Ahnu, Tsubo, Mozo & Hoka. One thing I noted while reviewing their 3Q12 income statement once again, was the fact that overall revenues showed signs of improving. While in 2011 Deckers reported 1,377M on revenue, if we

After a Reader's Request... Aware, Inc.

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A few days ago (probably more like a week or so) I was asked, by one member of my  Google Community , to perform analysis on two companies he considered to be worth looking at. +Terrence Chan  , I am sorry for taking so long but as an Accountant having a Tax Office you can only imagine my business hours right now. I have only been able to work on on one so far and wanted to share it with you. Aware (NASDAQ: AWRE), a company that supplies various products for the  bio metrics  and digital subscriber line (DSL) service assurance industries primarily in the United States and Germany. Giving it a first glance, I was reluctant to analyze it because of the low trading volume and lack of awareness on the company. However, I went ahead and looked at it realizing the good opportunity to make money from it. Unfortunately, for my reader, the way to profit from this company is, in my opinion, being on the other side of the trade, shorting the stock, writing calls or buying puts. Please c

Greed Will Make You Lose!

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“The point is, ladies and gentleman, that greed, for lack of a better word, is good. Greed is right, greed works…” that’s a memorable quote from the controversial Gordon Gekko in the movie Wall Street from 1987. However, that doesn’t apply in real life, or at least not all the time. If you are too greedy looking for profits and don’t pay attention to every aspect of a company you’re investing in, you may end up paying the ultimate price of greed. And that is, losing your money! For those of you, who are investors of Sprint (NYSE: S), and got in somewhere at the beginning of last year (2012), nothing is sweeter than watching your investment almost triple in value. Shares of Sprint were trading on the low range of the $2 mark during January 2012 and have just touched their 52 week highs of $5.97 this Tuesday. Yes, that is a gain of +184% from its 52 week low. But, staying on this boat for 2013 may be too dangerous and greedy if you ask me. Let’s take a look at the reasons th