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Showing posts with the label Dick's

My Positions on Under Armour 1 Day Before Earnings Release

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As I've mentioned in previous articles I believe the Company will go lower in the next few months. I have backed my words with some of my money on PUT options in the mid-single digits expiring in July 2018 and January 2019 as you can see on the picture of my position. I've explained how the company is expecting to be more levered in the next coming months and how their financials are deteriorating as presented in their most recent 10-K filing. I have also given you my personal opinion on why I believe the company will experience lower margins during this fiscal year and an my overall thesis on why I think there's more trouble ahead for the company. However, I am only human and my fears get to me. Market sentiment is on the rise, companies have been beating expectations and I can't do but wonder if my research will hold true. I still believe that the company still has to clear some hurdles before a turnaround is in place. Interest expense is a clear exampl...

Under Armour. More Trouble Ahead!

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The first quarter for 2018 is gone and an earnings date has been announced for UA 's on May 1. I have been reading their latest 10-K filing and trying to find a clue on where the Company is headed. My findings are nowhere near pleasant but I assure you I've given this my best case scenario on everything and even then the numbers don't look good. Let me start with " Net Revenue " , the Company has been showing signs of deceleration in that area. It had been expanding at an average rate of 21.2 % annually over the last 4 years but with the slowest of them being last year at only 3.2%. Being generous, I will give this area an estimated 10% increase to an expected $1,229M when compared to same quarter last year of $1.12B . I said I am being generous because not only the company has shown signs of deceleration when it comes to Net Revenue but it has actually decreased in the sales here in North America where it lost 5.1% during 2017 (the equivalent to al...

Is The Second Amendment Right Still "Right"?

As days go by and everyone had time to learn more about the horrific events that took place last Friday at Sandy Hook Elementary in Newtown, Connecticut. We now start questioning; How did this happen? Could that be avoided? Is the second-amendment right still “right”? It is especially difficult to think about the implications that a change to our current laws about gun control (or decontrol if you ask me) will bring to our society. There are as many defenders of the right to bear arms as there are people wanting a change in the laws that control more strictly the sale of guns. As for that, there are some retailers already taking action about this; Dick’s Sporting Goods (NYSE: DKS) has put out a statement saying that “…during this time of national mourning we have removed all guns from sale and from display in our store nearest to Newtown and suspended the sale of modern sporting rifles in all of our stores chain wide.” Some other articles I read were stating that Wal-Mar...