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Showing posts with the label Turnaround

Under Armour. More Trouble Ahead!

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The first quarter for 2018 is gone and an earnings date has been announced for UA 's on May 1. I have been reading their latest 10-K filing and trying to find a clue on where the Company is headed. My findings are nowhere near pleasant but I assure you I've given this my best case scenario on everything and even then the numbers don't look good. Let me start with " Net Revenue " , the Company has been showing signs of deceleration in that area. It had been expanding at an average rate of 21.2 % annually over the last 4 years but with the slowest of them being last year at only 3.2%. Being generous, I will give this area an estimated 10% increase to an expected $1,229M when compared to same quarter last year of $1.12B . I said I am being generous because not only the company has shown signs of deceleration when it comes to Net Revenue but it has actually decreased in the sales here in North America where it lost 5.1% during 2017 (the equivalent to al...

Margins to Shrink Even More at Under Armour

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This past weekend I was able to experience first hand what is going on at Under Armour’s stores. I must mention that the store I visited was not an outlet store but a regular one inside a big mall. I happened to be in the Grapevine area in Texas where the Gaylord Texan Resort is located. My thirteen year old daughter had a competition and I decided to take her. So I was naturally able to scout the area in search for clues on how the company is doing. I started by visiting Dick’s Sporting Goods and to my surprise the store was somewhat empty (meaning no customer traffic) and you couldn’t find many discounts around. I gave my wife the opportunity to look for one item that she likes (she takes yoga classes so I knew she was going to look for some pants or tops), after looking around she settled on some yoga pants but not from Under Armour, it was Nike’s and paid full retail price on them ($63.99). I, on the other hand, got myself an Under Armour cap for which I also paid full retail (...

J.C. Penney's 3Q 2013 Results - My Opinion.

Today, November 20, 2013 JC Penney announced its third quarter results with a press release followed by a conference call before the markets opened for business. Overall, I believe that it was good news for the longs (such as myself). However, skepticism is still hanging in there as the material results were disappointing and the only good news are the trends that seem to be improving but are yet to show on the quarterly results. As promised, I will give you, what I believe are the most important things from the conference call and quarterly results for your review. Mike Ullman the CEO mentioned that "the turnaround for J.C. Penney is beginning to take hold" He also said that during the third quarter "we began generating positive sales momentum". Nevertheless, those positive sales trends are not yet materialized and reflected into this quarter results. Margins on sales are not yet improving. In fact, they are deteriorating based on the same period last yea...